Monday, November 03, 2014

2014 Election Eve Predictions

2014

Governors

Democrats to gain (in order of margin of victory): PA, ME, KS, FL, MI (+3 net)

Republicans to gain: AR, MA

Independent to gain (from Republicans): AK

Others to watch: potential Democratic gains (in order of likelihood): WI, GA, AZ
potential Republican gains: CT, IL, CO, MD, RI, NH

Senate

Republicans to gain: MT, WV, SD, AR, LA, AK, IA, CO (+7 net)

Democrats to gain: none

Independents to gain: KS

Others to watch: potential Democratic gain: GA
potential Republican gains: NC, NH

House

Democrats to gain: CA-31, NE-02, FL-02, WV-02, IA-03

Republicans to gain: NC-07, NY-21, UT-04, WV-03, IL-12, FL-26, AZ-01, NY-01, MN-08 (+4 net)

Others to watch: potential Democratic gains: AR-02, CO-06, AR-04, NJ-03, MI-07, MI-06, CA-21, WI-06
potential Republican gains: NY-24, IL-10, CA-07, AZ-02, IA-01, NH-01